I played a PLO8 tourney and went out 7 out of 9 after playing the first 3 levels very tight and then getting pushy pre-flop against whack jobs. Let's see to what degree I was or was not the favorite:
Hand 23 - blinds 50/100 my chipstack is 1888, and I've been tight, and the raiser here certainly hasn't. I push more than half my stack preflop with the intention of putting in the last bit regardless of the flop.
*********** # 23 **************
PokerStars Game #6512715517: Tournament #33065853, $10+$1 Omaha Hi/Lo Pot Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2006/10/04 - 00:08:25 (ET)
Table '33065853 1' 9-max Seat #8 is the button
Seat 1: FrankNagaiJr (1888 in chips)
FrankNagaiJr: posts big blind 100
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [2d 8s Ac Ah]
badbugger: raises 200 to 300
Landau1120: folds
FrankNagaiJr: raises 650 to 950
badbugger: calls 650
*** FLOP *** [9h Tc 5s]
FrankNagaiJr: bets 938 and is all-in
badbugger: calls 585 and is all-in
*** TURN *** [9h Tc 5s] [7s]
*** RIVER *** [9h Tc 5s 7s] [9c]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
FrankNagaiJr: shows [2d 8s Ac Ah] (HI: two pair, Aces and Nines)
badbugger: shows [Qc 5c As 9s] (HI: a full house, Nines full of Fives)
Pre-flop, I was only the 62% fave, or 1.5 to 1 fave.
On the flop, I was 34% to win, or 1.5 to 1 against.
I lost.
Hand 24 - Same situation, and now I'm at push or fold only chips
*********** # 24 **************
PokerStars Game #6512726940: Tournament #33065853, $10+$1 Omaha Hi/Lo Pot Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2006/10/04 - 00:09:22 (ET)
Table '33065853 1' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: FrankNagaiJr (353 in chips)
Seat 2: mrfuzzy8 (1335 in chips)
Seat 4: sjking (1050 in chips)
Seat 5: boomerou247 (3235 in chips)
Seat 6: pooru (3282 in chips)
Seat 8: badbugger (3120 in chips)
Seat 9: Landau1120 (1125 in chips)
FrankNagaiJr: posts small blind 50
mrfuzzy8: posts big blind 100
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [5c As Ah 9h]
sjking: folds
boomerou247: folds
pooru: folds
badbugger: calls 100
Landau1120: folds
FrankNagaiJr: raises 253 to 353 and is all-in
mrfuzzy8: folds
badbugger: calls 253
*** FLOP *** [4d 7c 8s]
*** TURN *** [4d 7c 8s] [Js]
*** RIVER *** [4d 7c 8s Js] [8c]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
FrankNagaiJr: shows [5c As Ah 9h] (HI: two pair, Aces and Eights; LO: 8,7,5,4,A)
badbugger: shows [5d 2c 6s 9d] (HI: a straight, Four to Eight; LO: 8,7,5,4,2)
Here I'm the 66% fave preflop, still about 1.6 to 1
On the flop I'm a big dog on the high, needing a six to tie, or a runner-runner to win. On the low, if my Ace isn't counterfeited, I'm golden.
Hand 27 - I'm still trying to double up to survive. We don't get to see the third players hand, so we'll fudge some numbers:
*********** # 27 **************
PokerStars Game #6512757354: Tournament #33065853, $10+$1 Omaha Hi/Lo Pot Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2006/10/04 - 00:11:54 (ET)
Table '33065853 1' 9-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: FrankNagaiJr (403 in chips)
Seat 2: mrfuzzy8 (1135 in chips)
Seat 4: sjking (1150 in chips)
Seat 5: boomerou247 (3035 in chips)
Seat 6: pooru (3282 in chips)
Seat 8: badbugger (3470 in chips)
Seat 9: Landau1120 (1025 in chips)
boomerou247: posts small blind 50
pooru: posts big blind 100
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [Js Qd 3d Ac]
badbugger: folds
Landau1120: folds
FrankNagaiJr: raises 250 to 350
mrfuzzy8: folds
sjking: folds
boomerou247: calls 300
pooru: calls 250
*** FLOP *** [5c Kc Tc]
boomerou247: checks
pooru: checks
FrankNagaiJr: bets 53 and is all-in
boomerou247: calls 53
pooru: calls 53
*** TURN *** [5c Kc Tc] [5s]
boomerou247: checks
pooru: checks
*** RIVER *** [5c Kc Tc 5s] [4c]
boomerou247: checks
pooru: bets 500
boomerou247: folds
*** SHOW DOWN ***
pooru: shows [3h 4h Jc 5d] (HI: a full house, Fives full of Fours)
FrankNagaiJr: shows [Js Qd 3d Ac] (HI: a pair of Fives)
Heads up against this hand, I'm the 60% fave, or 1.5 to 1 again.
Let's pretend player 3 had a few plausible hands and see where we fall
A278 rainbow - I'm still the fave, barely. (41%, 28%, 31%)
Middle pair and plausible low
TT67 - I'm still the fave, the other two switch percentages (41%, 31%, 28%)
AA5K suited Ace - I plummet 6% (35%, 23%, 41%)
Complete middle card trash straight draw
6789 rainbow - I tip slightly up (43%, 29.5%, 28%)
If we look at the money in the pot, was the BB justified in calling?
700 in the pot, 250 to call, or 2.7 to 1.
Generally, the BB was not much worse than 2.5 to 1 against, so not a ridiculous call with three to a wheel and one suit.
