Saturday, October 21, 2006

Stud - Was I against a luckbox or not?

I played some on-line HORSE yesterday, and one player took all of my money in Stud. I'd like to know if he was a luckbox chaser, or if he was playing well.

Note - These hands are in reverse order. (Hand 1 is the last hand we played)

Hand 1

3rd Street
Dealt to mmw74 (Jh Tc)[6s]
Dealt to dabnut [9d]
Dealt to S-E-O-4-hire [9s]
Dealt to TheSnowman21 [Th]
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [Kd Ks 2s]
Dealt to rawmustard [8h]
Dealt to dropkick84 [Ad]

FrankNagaiJr: brings-in low $0.25
rawmustard: folds
dropkick84: folds
mmw74: calls $0.25
dabnut: folds
S-E-O-4-hire: folds
TheSnowman21: raises $0.25 to $0.50
FrankNagaiJr: calls $0.25
mmw74: calls $0.25


Two dimes has me as the 82% favorite over MMW74 right now. The snowman liked to raise on anything, so I just cold-called for now.

*** 4th STREET ***
Dealt to mmw74 [6s] [Qc]
Dealt to TheSnowman21 [Th] [Qs]
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [Kd Ks 2s] [As]

FrankNagaiJr: checks
mmw74: checks
TheSnowman21: bets $0.50
FrankNagaiJr: calls $0.50
mmw74: calls $0.50

I'm still an 85% fave over MMW here. I choose not to raise while my flush develops.

*** 5th STREET ***
Dealt to mmw74 [6s Qc] [7h]
Dealt to TheSnowman21 [Th Qs] [2h]
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [Kd Ks 2s As] [3s]
FrankNagaiJr: checks
mmw74: checks
TheSnowman21: checks

mmw74: bets $1
TheSnowman21: folds
FrankNagaiJr: calls $1

I'm now a 95% favorite here. I suppose I could have raised, but I know he would have called. Still, I should have raised as the favorite.

RIVER
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [Kd Ks 2s As 3s 5d] [Ac]
mmw74: bets $1
FrankNagaiJr: calls $1
*** SHOW DOWN ***
mmw74: shows [Jh Tc 6s Qc 7h 6h 6c] (three of a kind, Sixes)

MMW74's outs on the river were any two pair or trips, as long as I didn't hit my flush. I think he did luckbox this one.

Hand Two - - It's clear that he didn't luckbox me, but I had the misfortune to score a weaker set of trips than he, and neither of us boated.


Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [9d 8d 9h 9c Ah 3d] [2c]
Seat 1: mmw74 showed [Ts Kc As Ks Kh 2s Jh] and won ($11.10) with three of a kind, Kings

Hand 3
- I failed to catch up to his early two pair.

FrankNagaiJr: shows [Kh Kc 2s As 3h 5c Jd] (a pair of Kings)
Seat 1: mmw74 showed [Tc Qh Th Qc 7h 8c 6h] and won ($9.45) with two pair, Queens and Tens


Hand 4 - I really didn't think he could show the straight, since I had 4 of his 8 outs for the visible straight draw.

*** 3rd STREET ***
Dealt to mmw74 (Qh 9h )[Kh]
Dealt to Semiclear [6d]
Dealt to dabnut [Kc]
Dealt to S-E-O-4-hire [4h]
Dealt to TheSnowman21 [3h]
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [Ac 6c Ad]
Dealt to rawmustard [Qd]
Dealt to dropkick84 [3d]

dropkick84: bets $0.50
mmw74: calls $0.50
Semiclear: folds
dabnut: calls $0.50
S-E-O-4-hire: folds
TheSnowman21: folds
FrankNagaiJr: calls $0.50
rawmustard: folds

Why didn't I raise? I dunno, I figure it wouldn't help me much. Advise please?
I'm currently the 67% fave over MMW right now.

4th Street
Dealt to mmw74 [Kh] [Ts]
Dealt to dabnut [Kc] [7s]
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [Ac 6c Ad] [2h]
Dealt to dropkick84 [3d] [5d]

The ten has improved MMW's hand, we're now 58.5% and 41.5%.

*** 5th STREET ***
Dealt to mmw74 [Kh Ts] [Qc]
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [Ac 6c Ad 2h] [Jc]
Dealt to dropkick84 [3d 5d] [As]

With these cards, our percentages barely budge.

*** 6th STREET ***
Dealt to mmw74 [Kh Ts Qc] [7h]
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [Ac 6c Ad 2h Jc] [4s]
Dealt to dropkick84 [3d 5d As] [Qs]

We're virtually a coinflip now - 55% and 45% with one card to go. MMW has picked up the flush draw and could still hit two pair to win.


*** RIVER ***
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [Ac 6c Ad 2h Jc 4s] [Jh]
dropkick84: checks
mmw74: bets $1
FrankNagaiJr: raises $1 to $2
dropkick84: folds
mmw74: calls $1
*** SHOW DOWN ***
FrankNagaiJr: shows [Ac 6c Ad 2h Jc 4s Jh] (two pair, Aces and Jacks)
mmw74: shows [Qh 9h Kh Ts Qc 7h Js] (a straight, Nine to King)
mmw74 collected $10.40 from pot

I honestly thought my two pair was good, since I didn't see the flush draw, and knew that I was blocking most of the outs for the visible straight.


Hand 5
*** 3rd STREET ***
Dealt to mmw74 (3h 9d) [3d]
Dealt to Semiclear [Kc]
Dealt to dabnut [8s]
Dealt to TheSnowman21 [9c]
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [Ks Kh 4d]
Dealt to rawmustard [5c]
Dealt to dropkick84 [6h]


MMW and I are coin flipping here - 60% to 40%.

*** 4th STREET ***
Dealt to mmw74 [3d] [5s]
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [Ks Kh 4d] [7d]

My percent goes up slightly to 67%, since neither of us improved.

*** 5th STREET ***
Dealt to mmw74 [3d 5s] [Qh]
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [Ks Kh 4d 7d] [6c]

I shift slightly up to 70%, again nobody improves.

*** 6th STREET ***
Dealt to mmw74 [3d 5s Qh] [7s]
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [Ks Kh 4d 7d 6c] [9s]

I'm up to 75% here, and am the lead bettor on every street, and he keeps calling with a pair of 3s and optimism.

FrankNagaiJr: shows [Ks Kh 4d 7d 6c 9s Ah] (a pair of Kings)
mmw74: shows [3h 9d 3d 5s Qh 7s 3s] (three of a kind, Threes)
mmw74 collected $7 from pot

And he rivers to win.

That's five hands out of eight where I get decent starters, which is pretty rare, and where I get beat by the exact same player every time. I guess my opponent didn't play atrociously. He left the table immediately after taking all of my money in stud. Sensible fellow.