Sunday, February 12, 2006

Expensive Omaha Lesson

I learned that a made straight with redraws to a higher straight is a slight underdog to two pair with the flush draw. The moral of the story seems to be that if you've got two pair AND a flush draw, bet the farm.

Here's the actual hand:

PokerStars Game #3953328125: Omaha Pot Limit ($0.10/$0.25) - 2006/02/12 - 20:20:41 (ET)
Table 'Khryses' Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: OnCall ($21 in chips)
Seat 2: Ozren ($4 in chips)
Seat 3: FrankNagaiJr ($24.65 in chips)
Seat 4: theGodmother ($15.65 in chips)
Seat 5: Elisey ($24.75 in chips)
Seat 6: TERC_TX ($6.40 in chips)
Seat 8: Caesar44 ($7.40 in chips)
Seat 9: FRANCOU ($14.50 in chips)
theGodmother: posts small blind $0.10
Elisey: posts big blind $0.25
fizznik: sits out
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to FrankNagaiJr [Qh Ts Ks 9d]
TERC_TX: calls $0.25
Caesar44: calls $0.25
FRANCOU: calls $0.25
OnCall: calls $0.25
Ozren: calls $0.25
FrankNagaiJr: raises $0.75 to $1
theGodmother: calls $0.90
Elisey: calls $0.75
TERC_TX: folds
Caesar44: calls $0.75
FRANCOU: calls $0.75
OnCall: calls $0.75
Ozren: calls $0.75
*** FLOP *** [Js 8d 7d]

FNJ - Poker Odds calculator puts me at 44.27% to win, and Francout at 50.73% to win. I thought I was ahead. Oops.

theGodmother: checks
Elisey: checks
Caesar44: checks
FRANCOU: bets $0.50
OnCall: folds
Ozren: raises $2.50 to $3 and is all-in
FrankNagaiJr: raises $13.40 to $16.40
theGodmother: folds
Elisey: folds
Caesar44: folds
FRANCOU: calls $13 and is all-in
*** TURN *** [Js 8d 7d] [9h]

FNJ - Actually, at this point I am ahead, the 67.50% favorite, but that's still a lot of outs, one of which she hit.

*** RIVER *** [Js 8d 7d 9h] [Jh]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
FRANCOU: shows [7h 9c Qd Jd] (a full house, Jacks full of Nines)
FrankNagaiJr: mucks hand
FRANCOU collected $19.95 from side pot
Ozren: shows [Ad 3h Tc 5d] (a pair of Jacks)
FRANCOU collected $15.50 from main pot
Ozren leaves the table
*** SUMMARY ***